TY - JOUR
T1 - The U-shaped crime recovery during COVID-19
T2 - evidence from national crime rates in Mexico
AU - Balmori de la Miyar, Jose Roberto
AU - Hoehn-Velasco, Lauren
AU - Silverio-Murillo, Adan
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, The Author(s).
PY - 2021/12/1
Y1 - 2021/12/1
N2 - The existing empirical evidence suggests a reduction in aggregate crime as a consequence of the COVID-19 lockdown. However, what happens when lockdown measures are relaxed? This paper considers how the COVID-19 pandemic affects crime rates throughout Mexico when the stay-at-home orders end. We use national crime data from Mexico’s National Public Security System, which reports municipality-level rates on assault & battery, theft & property crime, fraud, drug crimes & extortion, and homicides. Our results show that the majority of crimes follow a U-shaped trend—when the lockdown ends—crimes rise back to pre-pandemic levels.
AB - The existing empirical evidence suggests a reduction in aggregate crime as a consequence of the COVID-19 lockdown. However, what happens when lockdown measures are relaxed? This paper considers how the COVID-19 pandemic affects crime rates throughout Mexico when the stay-at-home orders end. We use national crime data from Mexico’s National Public Security System, which reports municipality-level rates on assault & battery, theft & property crime, fraud, drug crimes & extortion, and homicides. Our results show that the majority of crimes follow a U-shaped trend—when the lockdown ends—crimes rise back to pre-pandemic levels.
KW - COVID-19
KW - Crime
KW - Lockdown
KW - Mexico
KW - Pandemic
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85109038263&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1186/s40163-021-00147-8
DO - 10.1186/s40163-021-00147-8
M3 - Artículo
AN - SCOPUS:85109038263
SN - 2193-7680
VL - 10
JO - Crime Science
JF - Crime Science
IS - 1
M1 - 14
ER -