La curva de rendimiento y su relación con la actividad económica en México durante el periodo 1978-2017

In this paper are analyzed the main components of the interest rate variation of debt instruments, issued by the Mexican Government, in the period 1978-2017. By means of an autoregressive vector, there is a relationship between these components and the variables: GDP gap, inflation rate and economic growth rate. Likewise, there is evidence of causality in the Granger sense, which establishes a bridge between the yield curve and economic activity in Mexico.